Elyria, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

325
FXUS61 KCLE 250531
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
131 AM EDT Fri Jul 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will continue to approach from the west, crossing the
area overnight into Friday. The front will settle over Central Ohio
by Friday afternoon and meander north and south over the local area
through Sunday. High pressure will build into the area behind the
front on Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Another late evening forecast update focuses on thunderstorms
over Lake Erie and near the Cleveland metro. Adjusted pops to
reflect the latest radar trends, and the previous severe
thunderstorm watch has been canceled as the activity has moved
east of the watch area.

Storms still remain somewhat organized near the Cleveland area,
although storms generally remain below severe limits. Despite a
steadily stabilizing boundary layer, cells continue to maintain
or briefly strengthen which has led to some isolated downburst-
type signatures on radar. Gusty winds still remain a threat with
any organized storms, but the threat should continue to steadily
diminish into the overnight hours.

Cold front will be slow to move through the later tonight into
Friday and there will be on and off scattered showers and storms
that will roll through the forecast area. Some better coverage
of shower and storm activity may occur on Friday afternoon with
peak heating and have some likely PoPs with the front.
Otherwise, it is hard to say much more about the timing of rain
through Friday. The front will settle south of the forecast area
for Friday night and rain coverage should be more widely
scattered. High temperatures on Friday afternoon will return
toward normal with mostly 80s across the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
The weekend forecast continues to be unsettled with a front
waffling through the forecast area. For Saturday, the front will
be lifted north as a warm front with a low pressure system
moving through the Midwest. A shortwave overriding the upper
ridge will allow for a spark of new convective activity across
the region and have likely PoPs returning to the area. With just
a touch of upper level support with this shortwave, there is the
low chance of a storm becoming strong to severe and Saturday
afternoon will need some watching, especially into western Ohio.
The front will return south as a cold front on Sunday and there
will be one last round of showers and storms before the front
finally clears the area. High pressure will build in for Sunday
night and the area should be dry. Temperatures will be near
normal in the 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
For next week, the upper ridge will surge back into the central
CONUS. The ridge axis will actually start near the forecast area
and retrograde westward as the ridge expands well into the
central and western United States. With the ridge closest to the
area on Monday, that will be the warmest day of the period and
there will be the potential for 90 degree temperatures.
Otherwise, several waves of energy will overrun the ridge and a
larger trough will sink south into the Great Lakes region and
some slightly cooler temperatures will be allowed into the area.
There will be some conditional chances for showers and storms,
but the potential is tricky as upper flow shifts to the
northwest and may hinge on upstream development.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Have gone conservative with the TAFs for the 06Z issuance in
terms of the convective potential through the forecast period.
The rapid updating models are backing off slightly on SHRA/TSRA
in the 14-18Z time frame, and will not have much of a mention
here including any PROB30 groups. Saving those for later in the
TAF in the afternoon when convection may have bit better chance
of firing, but being able to use prevailing or TEMPO for this
activity is not warranted at this time. Winds variable through
the day but generally less than 10kts. Expecting more mid and
high level cloud cover, but low level cumulus fields expected
not with heating but with nearby convective weather.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible each day through the weekend in
scattered showers and thunderstorms with a frontal boundary
lingering in the area. VFR possible briefly on Monday ahead of
a cold front passage Tuesday where non-VFR is possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will be 10-15 knots out of the southwest across the lake
with waves less than 2 feet. A cold front will pass through the
region Friday morning and waves will build to 1-3 feet for the
central and eastern basins, with the western basin staying less
than 2 feet. Winds will shift with the front and become
west-northwesterly around 15 knots. By Friday night, winds will
become light and variable and continue through Saturday. A warm
front will cross the lake early Sunday with winds becoming
predominantly out of the south at 10-15 knots. Waves will build
to 1-3 feet throughout the day Sunday as a cold front moves
through and winds will shift to be west-northwesterly. By Sunday
night, winds will become light and variable with waves a foot or
less. Winds will still be light at less than 10 knots out of the
southwest by Monday morning and then increase to 10-15 knots ahead
of a cold front passage on Tuesday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Sefcovic
NEAR TERM...03/Sefcovic
SHORT TERM...Sefcovic
LONG TERM...Sefcovic
AVIATION...26
MARINE...23